Future Floods in Bangladesh under 1.5°C, 2°C, and 4°C Global Warming Scenarios

This is the first study to assess the possible changes in floods in the Bangladesh part of the densely populated Ganges–Brahmaputra–Meghna (GBM) delta at 1.5°C, 2°C, and 4°C global warming levels. This study was undertaken with the aim of joining the efforts of the global scientific community to assist in the preparation of the upcoming Special Report on 1.5 Degrees by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. The future changes in the possibilities of peak synchronization of nearby large rivers were assessed for the first time. Peak synchronization is critical for flood assessment in low-lying delta regions like Bangladesh. Results indicate that the flood peaks of the GBM rivers are more likely to synchronize in the future. Results also indicate…