Primary prevention of cardiovascular disease: a web-based risk score for seven British black and minority ethnic groups

OBJECTIVE: To recalibrate an existing Framingham risk score to produce a web-based tool for estimating the 10-year risk of coronary heart disease (CHD) and cardiovascular disease (CVD) in seven British black and minority ethnic groups. DESIGN: Risk prediction models were recalibrated against survey data on ethnic group risk factors and disease prevalence compared with the general population. Ethnic- and sex-specific 10-year risks of CHD and CVD, at the means of the risk factors for each ethnic group, were calculated from the product of the incidence rate in the general population and the prevalence ratios for each ethnic group. SETTING: Two community-based surveys. PARTICIPANTS: 3778 men and 4544 women, aged 35-54, from the Health Surveys for England 1998 and 1999 and…