Stephen E. Darby, Frances Dunn, Robert J. Nicholls, Munsur Rahman et al.
We employ a climate-driven hydrological water balance and sediment transport model (HydroTrend) to simulate future climate-driven sediment loads flowing into the Ganges-Brahmaputra-Meghna (GBM) mega-delta. The model was parameterised using high-quality topographic data and forced with daily temperat...
Craig W. Hutton, Robert J. Nicholls, Attila N. Lázár, Alex Chapman et al.
The Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) are offered as a comprehensive strategy to guide and encourage sustainable development at multiple scales both nationally and internationally. Furthermore, through the development of indicators associated with each goal and sub-goal, the SDGs support the noti...
Shouvik Das, Sugata Hazra, Anisul Haque, Munsur Rahman et al.
The coastal areas of the Ganges-Brahmaputra-Meghna delta are acknowledged hotspots of environmental and social concerns. This reflects a large, mainly rural population of 56.7 million, which is exposed to a range of natural hazards exacerbated by climate change, sea-level rise and subsidence. There ...
Darren Lumbroso, Natalie Suckall, Robert J. Nicholls, Kathleen D. White
Abstract. Recent events in the USA have highlighted a lack of resilience in the coastal population to coastal flooding, especially amongst disadvantaged and isolated communities. Some low-income countries, such as Cuba and Bangladesh, have made significant progress towards transformed societies that...
Natalie Suckall, Emma L. Tompkins, Robert J. Nicholls, Abiy S. Kebede et al.
Deltas are precarious environments experiencing significant biophysical, and socio-economic changes with the ebb and flow of seasons (including with floods and drought), with infrastructural developments (such as dikes and polders), with the movement of people, and as a result of climate and environ...
Andrés Payo, Attila N. Lázár, D. Clarke, Robert J. Nicholls et al.
Abstract Understanding the dynamics of salt movement in the soil is a prerequisite for devising appropriate management strategies for land productivity of coastal regions, especially low‐lying delta regions, which support many millions of farmers around the world. At present, there are no numerical ...
Attila N. Lázár, Robert J. Nicholls, Jim W. Hall, Emily Barbour et al.
Abstract Bangladesh is one of the most climate-sensitive countries globally, creating significant challenges for future development. Here we apply an integrated assessment model — Delta Dynamic Integrated Emulator Model (ΔDIEM) — to the south-west coastal zone of Bangladesh to explore the outcomes o...
Md. Munsur Rahman, Anisul Haque, Robert J. Nicholls, Stephen E. Darby et al.
The Ganges-Brahmaputra-Meghna (GBM) delta is one of the world's largest deltas. It is currently experiencing high rates of relative sea-level rise of about 5 mm/year, reflecting anthropogenic climate change and land subsidence. This is expected to accelerate further through the 21st Century, so ther...
Daniella Hirschfeld, David Béhar, Robert J. Nicholls, Niamh Cahill et al.
Including sea-level rise (SLR) projections in planning and implementing coastal adaptation is crucial. Here we analyze the first global survey on the use of SLR projections for 2050 and 2100. Two-hundred and fifty-three coastal practitioners engaged in adaptation/planning from 49 countries provided ...
Anisul Haque, Robert J. Nicholls
Andrew Allan, Emily Barbour, Robert J. Nicholls, Craig W. Hutton et al.
Deltas are experiencing profound demographic, economic and land use changes and human-induced catchment and climate change. Bangladesh exemplifies these difficulties through multiple climate risks including subsidence/sea-level rise, temperature rise, and changing precipitation patterns, as well as ...
Anisul Haque, Susan Kay, Robert J. Nicholls
The magnitude and extent of fluvial, tidal and storm surge flooding in coastal Bangladesh are quantified using hydrodynamic numerical models under a series of climate and sea-level rise scenarios to 2100. Fluvial floods occur from July to October and are confined to the northern part of the coastal ...
Robert J. Nicholls, Stephen P. Leatherman
Any accelerated rise in sea level could have a major impact on the countries considered in this issue; the resulting problems will vary from country to country and depend on coastal geomorphology and present and future human activities in the coastal zone. Based on their highly-populated deltaic are...
Attila N. Lázár, Helen Adams, W. Neil Adger, Robert J. Nicholls
Resource-based livelihoods are uncertain and potentially unstable due to variability over time, including seasonal variation: this instability threatens marginalised populations who may fall into poverty. However, empirical understanding of trajectories of household well-being and poverty is limited...
W. Neil Adger, Helen Adams, Susan Kay, Robert J. Nicholls et al.
Deltas are distinct in terms of the concentration of freshwater, nutrients and especially sediment inputs to a small concentrated area of the coastal zone, creating conditions ideal for fertile ecosystems, dense population and high economic activity. Ecosystem services within these areas can provide...